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JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

ガンバ大阪 vs 浦和レッズ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ガンバ大阪浦和レッズ
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 30% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 浦和レッズ win (29.1%)ダブルチャンス1X70.9%1.41
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.56 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gap浦和レッズ winDifference+0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ガンバ大阪 win41%2.442.2541.5%-0.5 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1030.1%-0.1 pp
浦和レッズ win29%3.453.3028.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ガンバ大阪1.22

ホーム share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

浦和レッズ1.34

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ガンバ大阪

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

浦和レッズ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.22
Expected goals
1.34
ガンバ大阪浦和レッズ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ガンバ大阪 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02浦和レッズ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ガンバ大阪 vs 浦和レッズ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ガンバ大阪 勝ち 41%,引き分け 30%,浦和レッズ 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー