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JPN Япония - Джей-лига · Round 1 ·

Гамба Осака vs Урава Ред Даймондс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Гамба ОсакаУрава Ред Даймондс
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 30% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Урава Ред Даймондс win (29.1%)Двойной шанс1X70.9%1.41
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapУрава Ред Даймондс winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гамба Осака win41%2.442.2541.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья30%3.333.1030.1%-0.1 pp
Урава Ред Даймондс win29%3.453.3028.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гамба Осака1.22

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Урава Ред Даймондс1.34

Гости share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Гамба Осака

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Урава Ред Даймондс

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.22
Expected goals
1.34
Гамба ОсакаУрава Ред Даймондс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гамба Осака signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Урава Ред Даймондс signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Гамба Осака vs Урава Ред Даймондс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гамба Осака выигрыш 41%,Ничья 30%,Урава Ред Даймондс выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше