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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Round 1 ·

Гамба Осака vs Урава Ред Даймъндс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен30%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Гамба ОсакаУрава Ред Даймъндс
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 30% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Урава Ред Даймъндс win (29.1%)Двоен шанс1X70.9%1.41
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapУрава Ред Даймъндс winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гамба Осака win41%2.442.2541.5%-0.5 pp
Равен30%3.333.1030.1%-0.1 pp
Урава Ред Даймъндс win29%3.453.3028.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гамба Осака1.22

Домакин share of expected goals 47.7%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Урава Ред Даймъндс1.34

Гост share of expected goals 52.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Гамба Осака

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Урава Ред Даймъндс

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.22
Expected goals
1.34
Гамба ОсакаУрава Ред Даймъндс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гамба Осака signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Урава Ред Даймъндс signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Гамба Осака vs Урава Ред Даймъндс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гамба Осака печеливш 41%,Равен 30%,Урава Ред Даймъндс печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под