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ENG イングランド ナショナルリーグ · Round 1 ·

イーストリー vs ゲーツヘッド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1イーストリーゲーツヘッド
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 27% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)ダブルチャンス1272.9%1.37
オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%Goals 2.5オーバー59%1.69
はい 60% · いいえ 40%両チーム得点はい60%1.67
3.04 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
イーストリー win43%2.33
引き分け27%3.70
ゲーツヘッド win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

イーストリー1.75

ホーム share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%

ゲーツヘッド1.29

アウェイ share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 60% · いいえ 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

イーストリー

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ゲーツヘッド

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalアウェイ clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.75
Expected goals
1.29
イーストリーゲーツヘッド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01イーストリー signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ゲーツヘッド signalアウェイ clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

イーストリー vs ゲーツヘッド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

イーストリー 勝ち 43%,引き分け 27%,ゲーツヘッド 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · オーバー 2.5 59% · Current selection オーバー