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ENG イングランド ナショナルリーグ · Round 1 ·

ボレハムウッド vs タムワース

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.42 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利54%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利54% selection probability
Projected score2–1ボレハムウッドタムワース
Expected goals3.42始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー66% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
54% / 24% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes タムワース win (21.7%)ダブルチャンス1X78.3%1.28
オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%Goals 2.5オーバー66%1.52
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.42 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ボレハムウッド win54%1.85
引き分け24%4.17
タムワース win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ボレハムウッド2.31

ホーム share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals3.42始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%

タムワース1.11

アウェイ share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ボレハムウッド

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

タムワース

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
8
2.31
Expected goals
1.11
ボレハムウッドタムワース
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ボレハムウッド signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02タムワース signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ボレハムウッド vs タムワース FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ボレハムウッド 勝ち 54%,引き分け 24%,タムワース 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · オーバー 2.5 66% · Current selection オーバー