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ENG イングランド ナショナルリーグ · Round 1 ·

オルトリナム vs サウスエンド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.47 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利26%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利45%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利45% selection probability
Projected score1–2オルトリナムサウスエンド
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
26% / 29% / 45%試合結果アウェイ勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes オルトリナム win (26.3%)ダブルチャンスX273.7%1.36
オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%Goals 2.5アンダー55%1.82
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.47 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
オルトリナム win26%3.85
引き分け29%3.45
サウスエンド win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

オルトリナム0.95

ホーム share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%

サウスエンド1.52

アウェイ share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

オルトリナム

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サウスエンド

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
勝ち probability excluding draw
45%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.95
Expected goals
1.52
オルトリナムサウスエンド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01オルトリナム signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サウスエンド signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

オルトリナム vs サウスエンド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

オルトリナム 勝ち 26%,引き分け 29%,サウスエンド 勝ち 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · オーバー 2.5 45% · Current selection アンダー