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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Όλτρινχαμ vs Σάουθεντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.47 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου26%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου45%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου45% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΌλτρινχαμΣάουθεντ
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
26% / 29% / 45%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Όλτρινχαμ win (26.3%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX273.7%1.36
Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%Goals 2.5Κάτω55%1.82
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
2.47 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Όλτρινχαμ win26%3.85
Ισοπαλία29%3.45
Σάουθεντ win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Όλτρινχαμ0.95

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%

Σάουθεντ1.52

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Όλτρινχαμ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σάουθεντ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
45%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.95
Expected goals
1.52
ΌλτρινχαμΣάουθεντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Όλτρινχαμ signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σάουθεντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Όλτρινχαμ vs Σάουθεντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Όλτρινχαμ νίκη 26%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Σάουθεντ νίκη 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Άνω 2.5 45% · Current selection Κάτω