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ENG Англия - Национална Лига · Round 1 ·

Алтринкам vs Саутенд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.47 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина26%
Равен29%
Победа за госта45%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта45% selection probability
Projected score1–2АлтринкамСаутенд
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
26% / 29% / 45%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Алтринкам win (26.3%)Двоен шансX273.7%1.36
Над 45% · Под 55%Goals 2.5Под55%1.82
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.47 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Алтринкам win26%3.85
Равен29%3.45
Саутенд win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алтринкам0.95

Домакин share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 45% · Под 55%

Саутенд1.52

Гост share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алтринкам

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Саутенд

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
45%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.95
Expected goals
1.52
АлтринкамСаутенд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алтринкам signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Саутенд signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Алтринкам vs Саутенд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алтринкам печеливш 26%,Равен 29%,Саутенд печеливш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Над 2.5 45% · Current selection Под