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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Ίστλεϊ vs Γκέιτσχιντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΊστλεϊΓκέιτσχιντ
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 27% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272.9%1.37
Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%Goals 2.5Άνω59%1.69
Ναι 60% · Όχι 40%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι60%1.67
3.04 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ίστλεϊ win43%2.33
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Γκέιτσχιντ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ίστλεϊ1.75

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%

Γκέιτσχιντ1.29

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 60% · Όχι 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ίστλεϊ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γκέιτσχιντ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.75
Expected goals
1.29
ΊστλεϊΓκέιτσχιντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ίστλεϊ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γκέιτσχιντ signalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ίστλεϊ vs Γκέιτσχιντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ίστλεϊ νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Γκέιτσχιντ νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Άνω 2.5 59% · Current selection Άνω