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ENG Англия - Национальная лига · Round 1 ·

Истли vs Гейтсхед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ИстлиГейтсхед
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 27% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Двойной шанс1273%1.37
Больше 59% · Меньше 41%Goals 2.5Больше59%1.69
Да 60% · Нет 40%Обе забьютДа60%1.67
3.04 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Истли win43%2.33
Ничья27%3.70
Гейтсхед win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Истли1.75

Хозяева share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 59% · Меньше 41%

Гейтсхед1.29

Гости share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 60% · Нет 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Истли

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Гейтсхед

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.75
Expected goals
1.29
ИстлиГейтсхед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Истли signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гейтсхед signalГости clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Истли vs Гейтсхед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Истли выигрыш 43%,Ничья 27%,Гейтсхед выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · ТБ 2.5 59% · Current selection Больше