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ENG Engeland - National League · Round 1 ·

Boreham Wood vs Tamworth

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.42 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst54%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boreham WoodTamworth
Expected goals3.42Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 24% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tamworth win (21.7%)Dubbele Kans1X78.3%1.28
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.42 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Boreham Wood win54%1.85
Gelijkspel24%4.17
Tamworth win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boreham Wood2.31

Thuis share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals3.42Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Tamworth1.11

Uit share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Boreham Wood

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tamworth

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
8
2.31
Expected goals
1.11
Boreham WoodTamworth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boreham Wood signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tamworth signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Boreham Wood vs Tamworth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boreham Wood gewonnen 54%,Gelijkspel 24%,Tamworth gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven