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ENG 英格蘭全國聯賽 · Round 1 ·

波尼咸活特 vs 譚禾夫

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.42 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝54%
24%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝54% selection probability
Projected score2–1波尼咸活特譚禾夫
Expected goals3.42初盤 match profile
Goals 2.566% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
54% / 24% / 22%比賽結果主勝54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 譚禾夫 win (21.7%)雙勝彩1X78.3%1.28
大 66% · 小 34%Goals 2.566%1.52
是 61% · 否 39%雙方進球61%1.64
3.42 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.1 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
波尼咸活特 win54%1.85
24%4.17
譚禾夫 win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

波尼咸活特2.31

主隊 share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals3.42初盤

Dedicated goals model: 66% · 34%

譚禾夫1.11

客隊 share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · 39%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

波尼咸活特

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

譚禾夫

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
8
2.31
Expected goals
1.11
波尼咸活特譚禾夫
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01波尼咸活特 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02譚禾夫 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

波尼咸活特 vs 譚禾夫 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

波尼咸活特 54%, 24%,譚禾夫 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · 大2.5 66% · Current selection