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ポーツマス vs QPR

Archived pre-match prediction

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.79 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ポーツマスQPR
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 28% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)ダブルチャンス1271.6%1.40
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.79 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ポーツマス win38%2.63
引き分け28%3.57
QPR win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ポーツマス1.46

ホーム share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

QPR1.33

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ポーツマス

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

QPR

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.46
Expected goals
1.33
ポーツマスQPR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ポーツマス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02QPR signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ポーツマス vs QPR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ポーツマス 勝ち 38%,引き分け 28%,QPR 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー