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ENG Engeland - Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Portsmouth vs QPR

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.79 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1PortsmouthQPR
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 28% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dubbele Kans1271.6%1.40
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Portsmouth win38%2.63
Gelijkspel28%3.57
QPR win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portsmouth1.46

Thuis share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

QPR1.33

Uit share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Portsmouth

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

QPR

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.46
Expected goals
1.33
PortsmouthQPR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portsmouth signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02QPR signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Portsmouth vs QPR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portsmouth gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 28%,QPR gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven