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Portsmouth vs QPR

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score1–12.79 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1PortsmouthQPR
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 28% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Doppelte Chance1271.7%1.39
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Portsmouth win38%2.63
Unentschieden28%3.57
QPR win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portsmouth1.46

Heim share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

QPR1.33

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Portsmouth

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

QPR

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.46
Expected goals
1.33
PortsmouthQPR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portsmouth signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02QPR signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Portsmouth vs QPR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portsmouth Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 28%,QPR Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über