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ENG Inghilterra - Championship · Partita ·

Portsmouth vs QPR

Archived pre-match prediction

Casa form
Projected score1–12.79 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa38%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1PortsmouthQPR
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 28% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Doppia Chance1271.7%1.39
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Portsmouth win38%2.63
Pareggio28%3.57
QPR win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portsmouth1.46

Casa share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

QPR1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Portsmouth

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

QPR

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.46
Expected goals
1.33
PortsmouthQPR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portsmouth signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02QPR signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Portsmouth vs QPR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portsmouth vinta 38%,Pareggio 28%,QPR vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra