MatchFormula 試合を検索
Menu
UTC+8
タイムゾーンAsia/Shanghai
日本語
PRT ポルトガル セグンダリーガ · Round 1 ·

ペナフィエル vs ポルティモンセ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ペナフィエルポルティモンセ
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 30% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)ダブルチャンス1270.3%1.42
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.43 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ペナフィエル win40%2.50
引き分け30%3.33
ポルティモンセ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ペナフィエル1.37

ホーム share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

ポルティモンセ1.06

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ペナフィエル

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポルティモンセ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.06
ペナフィエルポルティモンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ペナフィエル signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポルティモンセ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ペナフィエル vs ポルティモンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ペナフィエル 勝ち 40%,引き分け 30%,ポルティモンセ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー