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PRT Πορτογαλία - Σεγκούντα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Πεναφιέλ vs Πορτιμονένσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΠεναφιέλΠορτιμονένσε
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 30% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.3%1.42
Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%Goals 2.5Κάτω56%1.79
Ναι 49% · Όχι 51%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Πεναφιέλ win40%2.50
Ισοπαλία30%3.33
Πορτιμονένσε win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Πεναφιέλ1.37

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%

Πορτιμονένσε1.06

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 49% · Όχι 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Πεναφιέλ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πορτιμονένσε

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.06
ΠεναφιέλΠορτιμονένσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Πεναφιέλ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πορτιμονένσε signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Πεναφιέλ vs Πορτιμονένσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Πεναφιέλ νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Πορτιμονένσε νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Άνω 2.5 44% · Current selection Κάτω