Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
40% / 30% / 30%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dvojitá šanca1270.3%1.42
Viac 44% · Menej 56%Goals 2.5Menej56%1.79
Áno 49% · Nie 51%Oba tímy skórujúNie51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Penafiel win40%2.50
Remíza30%3.33
Portimonense win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domáci share of expected goals 56.4%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Viac 44% · Menej 56%
Hostia share of expected goals 43.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domáci-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPenafiel
LWLWL
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6
SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5
Hostia-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPortimonense
WDWLW
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10
SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%6
Points from supplied form
101.37
Expected goals
1.06PenafielPortimonense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penafiel výhra 40%，Remíza 30%，Portimonense výhra 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Viac 2.5 44% · Current selection Menej。