Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 30% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dubbele Kans1270.3%1.42
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Penafiel win40%2.50
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Portimonense win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 56.4%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%
Uit share of expected goals 43.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPenafiel
LWLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPortimonense
WDWLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%6
Points from supplied form
101.37
Expected goals
1.06PenafielPortimonense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penafiel gewonnen 40%，Gelijkspel 30%，Portimonense gewonnen 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder。