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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst35% selection probability
Projected score1–1FeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 33% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Felgueiras 1932 win (32.3%)Dubbele Kans1X67.7%1.48
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Feirense win35%2.86
Gelijkspel33%3.03
Felgueiras 1932 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Feirense0.98

Thuis share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Felgueiras 19320.91

Uit share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Feirense

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Felgueiras 1932

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
10
0.98
Expected goals
0.91
FeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Feirense signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Felgueiras 1932 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Feirense gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 33%,Felgueiras 1932 gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder