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PRT ポルトガル セグンダリーガ · Round 1 ·

フェイレンセ vs フェルゲイラス1932

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利35%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利32%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利35% selection probability
Projected score1–1フェイレンセフェルゲイラス1932
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
35% / 33% / 32%試合結果ホーム勝利35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フェルゲイラス1932 win (32.3%)ダブルチャンス1X67.7%1.48
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
1.89 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
フェイレンセ win35%2.86
引き分け33%3.03
フェルゲイラス1932 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フェイレンセ0.98

ホーム share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

フェルゲイラス19320.91

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フェイレンセ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フェルゲイラス1932

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
勝ち probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
10
0.98
Expected goals
0.91
フェイレンセフェルゲイラス1932
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フェイレンセ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フェルゲイラス1932 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

フェイレンセ vs フェルゲイラス1932 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フェイレンセ 勝ち 35%,引き分け 33%,フェルゲイラス1932 勝ち 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー