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PRT Portugal Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier35%
Uavgjort33%
Borteseier32%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier35% selection probability
Projected score1–1FeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
35% / 33% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Felgueiras 1932 win (32.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X67.7%1.48
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Ja 38% · Nei 62%Begge lag scorerNei62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Feirense win35%2.86
Uavgjort33%3.03
Felgueiras 1932 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Feirense0.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Felgueiras 19320.91

Borte share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nei 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Feirense

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Felgueiras 1932

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
10
0.98
Expected goals
0.91
FeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Feirense signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Felgueiras 1932 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Feirense vunnet 35%,Uavgjort 33%,Felgueiras 1932 vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under