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PRT ポルトガル セグンダリーガ · Round 1 ·

トンデラ vs アマランテ

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利33%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1トンデラアマランテ
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 27% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)ダブルチャンス1272.9%1.37
オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%Goals 2.5アンダー55%1.82
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点はい50%2.00
2.46 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
トンデラ win40%2.50
引き分け27%3.70
アマランテ win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

トンデラ1.30

ホーム share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%

アマランテ1.16

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

トンデラ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アマランテ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.16
トンデラアマランテ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01トンデラ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アマランテ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

トンデラ vs アマランテ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

トンデラ 勝ち 40%,引き分け 27%,アマランテ 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · オーバー 2.5 45% · Current selection アンダー