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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

CD Tondela vs Amarante

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa40%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante33%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD TondelaAmarante
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo55% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
40% / 27% / 33%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dupla Chance1272.9%1.37
Acima 45% · Abaixo 55%Goals 2.5Abaixo55%1.82
Sim 50% · Não 50%Ambas as equipes marcamSim50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
CD Tondela win40%2.50
Empate27%3.70
Amarante win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Tondela1.30

Mandante share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 45% · Abaixo 55%

Amarante1.16

Visitante share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 50% · Não 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CD Tondela

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Amarante

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.16
CD TondelaAmarante
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Tondela signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amarante signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Tondela vs Amarante FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Tondela ganhou 40%,Empate 27%,Amarante ganhou 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Acima 2.5 45% · Current selection Abaixo