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東京ヴェルディ vs 川崎フロンターレ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利30%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利40%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1東京ヴェルディ川崎フロンターレ
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
30% / 30% / 40%試合結果アウェイ勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 東京ヴェルディ win (29.6%)ダブルチャンスX270.4%1.42
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.62 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gap東京ヴェルディ winDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
東京ヴェルディ win30%3.333.2029.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
川崎フロンターレ win40%2.502.3540.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

東京ヴェルディ1.19

ホーム share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

川崎フロンターレ1.43

アウェイ share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

東京ヴェルディ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

川崎フロンターレ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
勝ち probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.43
東京ヴェルディ川崎フロンターレ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01東京ヴェルディ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02川崎フロンターレ signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

東京ヴェルディ vs 川崎フロンターレ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

東京ヴェルディ 勝ち 30%,引き分け 30%,川崎フロンターレ 勝ち 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー