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JPN Giappone - J-League · Partita ·

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa30%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite40%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
30% / 30% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tokyo Verdy win (29.8%)Doppia ChanceX270.2%1.42
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tokyo Verdy win30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.1030.7%-0.7 pp
Kawasaki Frontale win40%2.502.4039.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tokyo Verdy1.19

Casa share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Kawasaki Frontale1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Tokyo Verdy

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Kawasaki Frontale

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.43
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tokyo Verdy signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kawasaki Frontale signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tokyo Verdy vinta 30%,Pareggio 30%,Kawasaki Frontale vinta 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto