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JPN Japan J-League · Fixture ·

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw30%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 30% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tokyo Verdy win (29.6%)Double chanceX270.4%1.42
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapTokyo Verdy winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tokyo Verdy win30%3.333.2029.5%+0.5 pp
Draw30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Kawasaki Frontale win40%2.502.3540.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tokyo Verdy1.19

Home share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Kawasaki Frontale1.43

Away share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tokyo Verdy

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kawasaki Frontale

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.43
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tokyo Verdy signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kawasaki Frontale signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tokyo Verdy win 30%,Draw 30%,Kawasaki Frontale win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under