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河南 vs 青島青春島

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利59%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利17%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利59% selection probability
Projected score1–1河南青島青春島
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
59% / 24% / 17%試合結果ホーム勝利59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 青島青春島 win (17.3%)ダブルチャンス1X82.7%1.21
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 43% · いいえ 57%両チーム得点いいえ57%1.75
2.29 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gap河南 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
河南 win59%1.691.5759.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp
青島青春島 win17%5.885.5017%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

河南1.48

ホーム share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

青島青春島0.81

アウェイ share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 43% · いいえ 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

河南

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

青島青春島

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
勝ち probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.48
Expected goals
0.81
河南青島青春島
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01河南 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02青島青春島 signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

河南 vs 青島青春島 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

河南 勝ち 59%,引き分け 24%,青島青春島 勝ち 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー