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定南ユナイテッドFC vs 大連鯤城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け22%
アウェイ勝利35%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score3–2定南ユナイテッドFC大連鯤城
Expected goals5.25始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー89% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 22% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)ダブルチャンス1277.8%1.29
オーバー 89% · アンダー 11%Goals 2.5オーバー89%1.12
はい 86% · いいえ 14%両チーム得点はい86%1.16
5.25 total expected goals正確なスコア3–2
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
定南ユナイテッドFC win43%2.33
引き分け22%4.55
大連鯤城 win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

定南ユナイテッドFC2.80

ホーム share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 89% · アンダー 11%

大連鯤城2.45

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitはい 86% · いいえ 14%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

定南ユナイテッドFC

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

大連鯤城

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
定南ユナイテッドFC大連鯤城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01定南ユナイテッドFC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02大連鯤城 signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

定南ユナイテッドFC vs 大連鯤城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

定南ユナイテッドFC 勝ち 43%,引き分け 22%,大連鯤城 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · オーバー 2.5 89% · Current selection オーバー