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CHN 中国 ディビジョン1 · Round 17 ·

梅州客家 vs 佛山南獅

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利49%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利25%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利49% selection probability
Projected score2–1梅州客家佛山南獅
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
49% / 26% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 佛山南獅 win (25.3%)ダブルチャンス1X74.7%1.34
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.80 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gap梅州客家 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
梅州客家 win49%2.041.8049.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
佛山南獅 win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

梅州客家1.54

ホーム share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

佛山南獅1.26

アウェイ share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

梅州客家

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

佛山南獅

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.54
Expected goals
1.26
梅州客家佛山南獅
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01梅州客家 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02佛山南獅 signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

梅州客家 vs 佛山南獅 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

梅州客家 勝ち 49%,引き分け 26%,佛山南獅 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー