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CHN 中国 ディビジョン1 · Round 17 ·

蘇州東呉 vs 長春亜泰

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利35%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利37%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1蘇州東呉長春亜泰
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー58% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
35% / 28% / 37%試合結果アウェイ勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)ダブルチャンス1271.9%1.39
オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%Goals 2.5アンダー58%1.72
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.36 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap長春亜泰 winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
蘇州東呉 win35%2.862.5535.2%-0.2 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
長春亜泰 win37%2.702.4536.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

蘇州東呉1.12

ホーム share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%

長春亜泰1.24

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

蘇州東呉

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

長春亜泰

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
1.24
蘇州東呉長春亜泰
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01蘇州東呉 signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02長春亜泰 signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

蘇州東呉 vs 長春亜泰 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

蘇州東呉 勝ち 35%,引き分け 28%,長春亜泰 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · オーバー 2.5 42% · Current selection アンダー