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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Suzhou Dongwu vs Changchun Yatai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Suzhou DongwuChangchun Yatai
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 28% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Dubbele Kans1271.9%1.39
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapChangchun Yatai winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Suzhou Dongwu win35%2.862.5535.2%-0.2 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Changchun Yatai win37%2.702.4536.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Suzhou Dongwu1.12

Thuis share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Changchun Yatai1.24

Uit share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Suzhou Dongwu

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Changchun Yatai

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
1.24
Suzhou DongwuChangchun Yatai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Suzhou Dongwu signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Changchun Yatai signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Suzhou Dongwu vs Changchun Yatai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Suzhou Dongwu gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 28%,Changchun Yatai gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder