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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Meizhou Hakka vs Foshan Nanshi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr49%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr25%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Meizhou HakkaFoshan Nanshi
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
49% / 26% / 25%KampresultatHjemmesejr49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Foshan Nanshi win (25.3%)Dobbeltchance1X74.7%1.34
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Begge hold scorerJa57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapMeizhou Hakka winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Meizhou Hakka win49%2.041.8049.6%-0.6 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Foshan Nanshi win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Meizhou Hakka1.54

Hjemme share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Foshan Nanshi1.26

Ude share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Meizhou Hakka

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Foshan Nanshi

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vundet probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.54
Expected goals
1.26
Meizhou HakkaFoshan Nanshi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Meizhou Hakka signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Foshan Nanshi signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Meizhou Hakka vs Foshan Nanshi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Meizhou Hakka vundet 49%,Uafgjort 26%,Foshan Nanshi vundet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over