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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Мейжю Хака vs Фошан Нанши

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина49%
Равен26%
Победа за госта25%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Мейжю ХакаФошан Нанши
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
49% / 26% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фошан Нанши win (25.3%)Двоен шанс1X74.7%1.34
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapМейжю Хака winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мейжю Хака win49%2.041.8049.6%-0.6 pp
Равен26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Фошан Нанши win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мейжю Хака1.54

Домакин share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

Фошан Нанши1.26

Гост share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мейжю Хака

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фошан Нанши

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.54
Expected goals
1.26
Мейжю ХакаФошан Нанши
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мейжю Хака signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фошан Нанши signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Мейжю Хака vs Фошан Нанши FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мейжю Хака печеливш 49%,Равен 26%,Фошан Нанши печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над