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CHN China Division 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst35%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score3–2Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Expected goals5.25Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven89% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 22% / 35%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)Dubbele Kans1277.8%1.29
Boven 89% · Onder 11%Goals 2.5Boven89%1.12
Ja 86% · Nee 14%Beide teams scorenJa86%1.16
5.25 total expected goalsExacte score3–2
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Dingnan Ganlian FC win43%2.33
Gelijkspel22%4.55
Dalian K'un City win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dingnan Ganlian FC2.80

Thuis share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 89% · Onder 11%

Dalian K'un City2.45

Uit share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 86% · Nee 14%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Dingnan Ganlian FC

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Dalian K'un City

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dingnan Ganlian FC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dalian K'un City signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dingnan Ganlian FC gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 22%,Dalian K'un City gewonnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · Boven 2.5 89% · Current selection Boven