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CHN 中國甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

定南贛聯FC vs 大連鯤城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝43%
22%
客勝35%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score3–2定南贛聯FC大連鯤城
Expected goals5.25初盤 match profile
Goals 2.589% for the selected side
雙方進球86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 22% / 35%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)雙重機會1277.8%1.29
大 89% · 小 11%Goals 2.589%1.12
是 86% · 否 14%雙方進球86%1.16
5.25 total expected goals正確比分3–2
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
定南贛聯FC win43%2.33
22%4.55
大連鯤城 win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

定南贛聯FC2.80

主隊 share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25初盤

Dedicated goals model: 89% · 11%

大連鯤城2.45

客隊 share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 86% · 14%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

定南贛聯FC

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

大連鯤城

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
定南贛聯FC大連鯤城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01定南贛聯FC signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02大連鯤城 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

定南贛聯FC vs 大連鯤城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

定南贛聯FC 43%, 22%,大連鯤城 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · 大2.5 89% · Current selection