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URY ウルグアイ セグンダ · 試合 ·

セリート vs ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1セリートウルグアイ・モンテビデオ
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 31% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ win (28.6%)ダブルチャンス1X71.4%1.40
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 44% · いいえ 56%両チーム得点いいえ56%1.79
2.19 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
セリート win40%2.50
引き分け31%3.23
ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

セリート1.27

ホーム share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%

ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ0.92

アウェイ share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 44% · いいえ 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

セリート

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
0.92
セリートウルグアイ・モンテビデオ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01セリート signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

セリート vs ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

セリート 勝ち 40%,引き分け 31%,ウルグアイ・モンテビデオ 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー