MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
URY Uruguay Segunda · Mecz ·

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CerritoUruguay Montevideo
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 31% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Uruguay Montevideo win (28.6%)Podwójna szansa1X71.4%1.40
Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%Goals 2.5Poniżej62%1.61
Tak 44% · Nie 56%Obie drużyny strzeląNie56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Cerrito win40%2.50
Remis31%3.23
Uruguay Montevideo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerrito1.27

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%

Uruguay Montevideo0.92

Goście share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 44% · Nie 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Cerrito

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Uruguay Montevideo

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
0.92
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerrito signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Uruguay Montevideo signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerrito wygrana 40%,Remis 31%,Uruguay Montevideo wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Powyżej 2.5 38% · Current selection Poniżej