Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 31% / 29%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Uruguay Montevideo win (28.6%)Double chance1X71.4%1.40
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Cerrito win40%2.50
Draw31%3.23
Uruguay Montevideo win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%
Away share of expected goals 42%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCerrito
DLDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchUruguay Montevideo
LWWDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
29%6
Points from supplied form
81.27
Expected goals
0.92CerritoUruguay Montevideo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Cerrito win 40%，Draw 31%，Uruguay Montevideo win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under。