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URY Uruguay Segunda · Final ·

Paysandu FC vs CA River Plate

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win30%
Draw29%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Paysandu FCCA River Plate
Expected goals3.53Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 29% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapPaysandu FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paysandu FC win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp
Draw29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
CA River Plate win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paysandu FC1.75

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals3.53Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

CA River Plate1.78

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Paysandu FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA River Plate

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.75
Expected goals
1.78
Paysandu FCCA River Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paysandu FC signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA River Plate signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Paysandu FC vs CA River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paysandu FC win 30%,Draw 29%,CA River Plate win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over