What is the Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo prediction?

The prediction is Away win, with a projected score of 1–1 and a selected-call probability of 36%.

What are the Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1X2 probabilities?

Tacuarembo win 34%, draw 30%, and Atletico Fenix Montevideo win 36%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

The displayed projection is 2.35 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 42%.

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UTC+8

URY Uruguay Segunda · Fixture · Sun, Aug 23, 07:30

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score1–12.35 expected goals

Away form

Home win34%

Draw30%

Away win36%

Full model forecastAway winTier A · 36% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win36% selection probability

Projected score1–1Tacuarembo — Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side

Expected corners9.7Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

34% / 30% / 36%Match resultAway win36%2.78

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Double chance1270.2%1.42

Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72

Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89

2.35 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——

9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapTacuarembo winDifference-1.1 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Tacuarembo win34%2.942.5535.1%-1.1 pp

Draw30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Atletico Fenix Montevideo win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tacuarembo0.98

Home share of expected goals 41.7%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.37

Away share of expected goals 58.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

1.00pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.00pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

34%

Win probability excluding draw

36%

Points from supplied form

0.98

Expected goals

1.37

TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tacuarembo signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions