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URY Uruguay Segunda · Kamp ·

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr34%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr36%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr36% selection probability
Projected score1–1TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
34% / 30% / 36%KampresultatUdesejr36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Dobbeltchance1270.2%1.42
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 47% · Nej 53%Begge hold scorerNej53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapTacuarembo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tacuarembo win34%2.942.5535.1%-1.1 pp
Uafgjort30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tacuarembo0.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 41.7%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.37

Ude share of expected goals 58.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nej 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vundet probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.37
TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tacuarembo signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tacuarembo vundet 34%,Uafgjort 30%,Atletico Fenix Montevideo vundet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under