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URY Uruguay Segunda · Partido ·

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local34%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–1TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
34% / 30% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Doble Oportunidad1270.2%1.42
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapTacuarembo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tacuarembo win34%2.942.5535.1%-1.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tacuarembo0.98

Local share of expected goals 41.7%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.37

Visitante share of expected goals 58.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.37
TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tacuarembo signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tacuarembo ganada 34%,Empate 30%,Atletico Fenix Montevideo ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de