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URY Uruguay Segunda · Trận đấu ·

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng34%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng36%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng36% selection probability
Projected score1–1TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu58% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
34% / 30% / 36%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Cơ hội kép1270.2%1.42
Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%Goals 2.5Xỉu58%1.72
Có 47% · Không 53%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapTacuarembo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tacuarembo win34%2.942.5535.1%-1.1 pp
Hòa30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tacuarembo0.98

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 41.7%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.37

Khách share of expected goals 58.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · Không 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Thắng probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.37
TacuaremboAtletico Fenix Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tacuarembo signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Tacuarembo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tacuarembo thắng 34%,Hòa 30%,Atletico Fenix Montevideo thắng 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Tài 2.5 42% · Current selection Xỉu