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URY 烏拉圭乙組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

塞里托 vs 烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
31%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–1塞里托烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 31% / 29%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞 win (28.6%)雙重機會1X71.4%1.40
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.19 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
塞里托 win40%2.50
31%3.23
烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞 win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

塞里托1.27

主隊 share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞0.92

客隊 share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

塞里托

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
0.92
塞里托烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01塞里托 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

塞里托 vs 烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

塞里托 40%, 31%,烏拉圭 蒙得維的亞 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection