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JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

アビスパ福岡 vs ヴィッセル神戸

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利26%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利41%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1アビスパ福岡ヴィッセル神戸
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー72% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
26% / 33% / 41%試合結果アウェイ勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アビスパ福岡 win (26.3%)ダブルチャンスX273.7%1.36
オーバー 28% · アンダー 72%Goals 2.5アンダー72%1.39
はい 35% · いいえ 65%両チーム得点いいえ65%1.54
1.84 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アビスパ福岡 win26%3.85
引き分け33%3.03
ヴィッセル神戸 win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アビスパ福岡0.72

ホーム share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 28% · アンダー 72%

ヴィッセル神戸1.12

アウェイ share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 35% · いいえ 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アビスパ福岡

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヴィッセル神戸

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
勝ち probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.12
アビスパ福岡ヴィッセル神戸
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アビスパ福岡 signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヴィッセル神戸 signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

アビスパ福岡 vs ヴィッセル神戸 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アビスパ福岡 勝ち 26%,引き分け 33%,ヴィッセル神戸 勝ち 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · オーバー 2.5 28% · Current selection アンダー