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JPN 日本J聯賽 · Round 1 ·

福岡黃蜂 vs 神戶勝利船

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝26%
33%
客勝41%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝41% selection probability
Projected score1–1福岡黃蜂神戶勝利船
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.572% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
26% / 33% / 41%比賽結果客勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 福岡黃蜂 win (26.3%)雙重機會X273.7%1.36
大 28% · 小 72%Goals 2.572%1.39
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
1.84 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
福岡黃蜂 win26%3.85
33%3.03
神戶勝利船 win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

福岡黃蜂0.72

主隊 share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 28% · 72%

神戶勝利船1.12

客隊 share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

福岡黃蜂

0.80pts / match
5Wins0Drawn4Losses1積分4

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

神戶勝利船

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
贏 probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.12
福岡黃蜂神戶勝利船
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01福岡黃蜂 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02神戶勝利船 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

福岡黃蜂 vs 神戶勝利船 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

福岡黃蜂 26%, 33%,神戶勝利船 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · 大2.5 28% · Current selection