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JPN Japan J-League · Round 1 ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw33%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 33% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Avispa Fukuoka win (26.2%)Double chanceX273.8%1.36
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Avispa Fukuoka win26%3.85
Draw33%3.03
Vissel Kobe win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.72

Home share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

Vissel Kobe1.12

Away share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vissel Kobe

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.12
Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vissel Kobe signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka win 26%,Draw 33%,Vissel Kobe win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under