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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · Final ·

CDモロン vs アルマグロ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score2–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CDモロンアルマグロ
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 28% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルマグロ win (15.9%)ダブルチャンス1X84.1%1.19
オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%Goals 2.5アンダー63%1.59
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
2.19 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
CDモロン win56%1.79
引き分け28%3.57
アルマグロ win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CDモロン1.68

ホーム share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%

アルマグロ0.51

アウェイ share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CDモロン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルマグロ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CDモロンアルマグロ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CDモロン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルマグロ signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CDモロン vs アルマグロ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CDモロン 勝ち 56%,引き分け 28%,アルマグロ 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · オーバー 2.5 37% · Current selection アンダー